中间产品、工业化转型与中国经济增长

Mediate Products,the Transition of Industrialization and the Economic Growth in China

文章认为,最终需求和出口需求对我国工业化与经济增长的推动作用逐渐减弱,中间产品对工业化和经济增长可发挥积极作用,收入效应、分配效应、降低最低有效规模和提高生产率是中间产品影响工业化的主要途径,而规模、技术、人力资源和一些其它条件是制约中间产品生产扩张的主要因素。中间产品生产发展不足和我国存在的就业不足、技术进步缓慢、收入分配不公与工业化趋缓和经济增长放慢等问题密切相关,我国已具备大力发展中间产品生产、以中间产品生产扩张促进工业化转型、推动中国经济增长的基础。文章提出了采取大推进策略、延伸产业链和加强制度建设等对策以加快发展中间产品。

Ultimate demand and export demand were the main motivation of industrialization and economic growth in China, but now the effect is weakening, the industrialization is slowing down and economic growth is confronted with an ordeal. This paper tries to explore the positive role that mediate products may play in industrialization and economic growth. Income effect, distribution effect, reducing the minimum effective size and improving productivity are the main ways by which mediate products affect industrialization, and that the scale conditions, technical conditions, human resource conditions and some other conditions are the main factors that restrict the development of mediate products. The relationship among the insufficient development of mediate products and the insufficiency of employment, slowing technological progress, unfair income distribution, slowing down industrialization and economic growth, are explored, combined with the present situation in China. Then China are proved to have qualifications to develop the mediate products and whereby to bring about the transition of industrialization and promote the economic growth. In the end, some advices on how to develop mediate products are provided.