摘要
根据1994-2006年的省级面板数据,借鉴"Armey曲线"二次方程模型,对我国地方财政农业投入的最优规模进行估算。结果发现,如果以农业GDP作为农业经济的代理变量,则当地方财政农业投入占农业GDP的比例为39.8%时,农业经济增长速度达到峰值,而地方财政农业投入的现实规模远远小于估算的最优规模。为此,必须通过制度创新进一步强化地方财政对农业的投入。
Based on the provincial panel data from the year 1994 to 2006,drawing on "Armey curve" quadratic model,this paper estimates the optimal size of local financial investment in agriculture.The result shows that,being the agricultural GDP as a proxy for the agricultural economy,when the proportion of local financial investment in agriculture to agricultural GDP is 39.8%,the agricultural economic growth rate reaches the peak,but the actual size of local financial investment in agriculture is far less than the optimal size.Therefore,it is necessary to further strengthen local financial investment in agriculture through system innovation.
出处
《税务与经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第5期42-48,共7页
Taxation and Economy