“金砖国家”通货膨胀周期的协动性

The Inflation Cycle Co-movements of BRICS: Based on SPSS Factor Analysis and Cluster Analysis Methods

本文探讨了"金砖国家"通货膨胀周期的协动性及其影响因素。通过研究认为,"金砖国家"通货膨胀周期波动存在较强的协动性。SPSS因子分析和聚类分析的结果表明,"金砖国家"通货膨胀周期协动性的出现在很大程度上是源自世界通货膨胀波动的冲击和发展中大国因素的综合作用。"金砖国家"通货膨胀周期可以分为"大起大落"型和比较稳定型。中国通货膨胀周期波动虽介于这两者之间,但更具有"大起大落"的倾向。本文的研究结论从一个侧面反映了"金砖国家"合作机制的形成原因及其在未来加强经济合作和政策协调的必要性,同时也为当前中国治理通货膨胀政策的制定提供一定的借鉴和参考。

This paper discusses the co-movements in the inflation cycles of BRICS and the influencing factors. This paper shows that there are strong co-movements in the inflation cycle fluctuations of BRICS. Using SPSS factor analysis and cluster analysis methods, this paper draws the conclusions that the co-movements of BRICS＇ inflation cycles result in large parts from the combiJaed effects of the world inflation fluctuations.and the nature of large developing countries. The inflation cycles of BRICS can be divided into the ＂ ups and downs＂ type and the more stable type. China＇ s inflation cycle lies between these two types, but has more ＂ups and downs＂ tendency. The conclusions of this paper make a reflection of the reasons for the formation of BRICS＇ cooperation mechanisms and the necessity for BRICS to strengthen economic cooperation and policy coordination in the future, and at the same time provide a reference for the current policies in controlling inflation of China.