中德两国木质家具出口贸易的比较研究——基于1997—2009年数据的实证分析

The comparative research of wood furniture export trade between China and Germany ——based on the empirical analysis of statistic figures from 1997 to 2009

通过1997—2009年的贸易数据对中德两国的木质家具出口贸易进行了比较研究。利用CMS模型测算了拉动两国木质家具出口增长的原因,进而通过显性比较优势指数和贸易结合度指数的测算,实证分析了中德两国各自具有比较优势的产品类型以及双边木质家具贸易的结合程度。结果发现,竞争力效应和一般增长效应分别是拉动中国和德国木质家具出口增长的主要因素,两国分别在不同种类的产品上具有比较优势且两国间的木质家具贸易结合程度不高,具有巨大的合作发展潜力。

Based upon the trade statistic figures from 1997 to 2009, the thesis mainly focus on the comparative research for wood furniture export trade between China and Germany. First, according to the CMS model, the paper analyzed the major reasons which caused the increase of wood furniture export trade for the two countries. Second, the respective competitive products and the bilateral wood furniture trade combined situation are well shown in the paper by the result of revealed comparative advantage and trade combined degree. Finally, the result of research indicated that the competitive strength effect and general increase effect are respectively the major factors caused the increase of wood furniture export trade for China and Germany. Besides, the two countries separately have their advantages in the different kinds of products and the combined situation of bilateral wood furniture trade stayed in a low level. Hence, there is a huge potential for cooperation in the two countries.