FDI垄断优势、知识溢出与发展中国家经济增长

Monopolistic Advantages of FDI, Knowledge Spillovers and Economic Growth of Developing Countries

本文从FDI垄断优势和知识溢出的角度对发展中国家科技进步和经济发展路径进行建模,并以中国的部分行业为例进行了实证检验。结果表明,基于FDI垄断优势和知识溢出理论框架下的发展中国家科技进步和经济增长模式在不同的阶段有不同的表现形式;发展中国家在一定时期表现出来的科技或经济上的"后发优势"并不具备可持续性;在发展中国家谋求科技发展和经济增长的过程中,发展初期使用"市场换技术"的策略能够促进科技水平的快速进步,但后期发展的关键在于提升自主研发水平,FDI的贡献将显著降低。

This paper models the development path of the technology progress and economic growth of developing countries from the perspective of theories of the FDl's monopolistic advantages and knowledge spillovers, and gives an empirical analysis to the data of some industries of China. The results show that there are different manifestations of the form of the technology progress and economic growth of developing countries in different stages. The 'Late-mover Advantage' , which would appear in a certain period of the development of the developing countries, is not sustainable. In the progress of technology and economic development of developing countries, the strategy of 'Market for Technology' works in the early stage, and in the late stage the key ingredient of development is not FDI but R&D.