摘要
基于对主要发达国家1850~2005年工业化以及碳排放的历史数据,考察了发达国家在实现工业化过程中碳排放的演变趋势,从中得出碳排放和一国工业化进程间的规律性。使用碳排放总量、人均碳排放量和碳排放强度三个指标多角度分析了碳排放的演变特性与规律,分析了各国碳排放周期,指出了工业发展中碳排放倒U型发展模式,并将整个周期划分为五个不同阶段。结合发达国家的经验,针对包括我国在内的发展中国家,提出了保持经济高速增长的同时,有效降低碳排放的建议。
This paper analyzes the historic data of energy consumption and carbon emission in major developed countries worldwide during the entire process of industrialization from 1850 to 2005. Using three different carbon emission indicators, it shows the characteristics of carbon emission's evolution. This paper divides the whole carbon emission cycle into five stages, and also proposes and assesses different development paths for developing countries to achieve low carbon economy during their industrialization process.
出处
《生态经济》
北大核心
2011年第10期24-28,共5页
Ecological Economy
基金
2010国家社会科学基金项目"我国低碳经济发展路径与政策研究"(10BJL034)阶段性成果
关键词
经济增长
碳排放
变化趋势
economic growth
carbon emission
trends of the change