滑坡预报研究综述

Analysis of Landslide Prediction

边坡的失稳演化与其内部结构和外界因素的影响密切相关,在回顾滑坡预测发展史的基础上,指出滑坡预报包括空间预测、强度预测和时间预报三方面内容,而时间预报是滑坡预报的核心。探讨了滑坡预报存在的问题与现阶段经验预报的必要性。

The instable evolution of slope is closely related to its internal structure and the external influence.Based on the review of development history of landslide,it is pointed out that landslide prediction includes space prediction,intensity prediction and time prediction,and time prediction is the most importion aspect of landslide prediction.The problems of landslide prediction are discussed,and the necessity of empirical forecast is proved.