灰色GM(1,1)新陈代谢模型在吉林省GDP总量预测中的应用

Grey Model GM(1,1) Metabolism in Jilin Province GDP Forecast of Application

通过灰色系统理论,建立不同维数的灰色GM(1,1)新陈代谢模型,比较了它们的优劣,确定了最优维数预测模型.应用该模型预测出2011-2015年吉林省的GDP总量.

Based on the gray system theory, it establishes the different dimension of grey model GM （ 1, 1 ） metabolism, and compares their advantages and disadvantages to determine the optimal dimension forecast model. It predicts 2010 - 2014 of Jilin Province＇ s GDP with applying this model.