摘要
按照时间的顺序,从非正式模型、理论模型和模拟模型3个角度综述了世界石油价格的预测模型。其中,石油价格的非正式预测模型简单易懂,对政策的制定和社会经济发展影响较大;理论模型是研究问题的基础;模拟模型能利用技术手段更好地进行价格波动区间的预测。
According to the sequence of time, this text reviews the estimate model of the petroleum price of the informal model, the theories model and simulation modal. Among them, the informal estimate model of the petroleum price understands in brief and easily and influences the establishment of the policy. The theories model is a foundation that studies the problem; which the simulation model can make use of the technique means to carry on predicting the price moron zone.
出处
《工业技术经济》
CSSCI
2011年第9期155-160,共6页
Journal of Industrial Technological Economics
关键词
石油价格
预测模型
神经网络
petroleum price
forecasting model
neural network
