我国农业生物产业技术创新途径的博弈选择

Game Analysis on Technological Innovation Path of Agro-ecology Industry in China

农业生物产业创新道路选择的正确与否直接影响着该产业发展的快慢和国际竞争力的强弱。在对产业技术创新途径进行界定的基础上,采用博弈分析方法基于寡头模型下技术扩散与不扩散、产业实力等方面对产业创新途径的选择进行了分析,并结合我国农业生物产业的创新实力、创新环境、农业生物产品生命周期等对我国农业生物产业技术创新途径的选择进行了实证博弈分析,结论表明:自主创新道路是当前我国的最优选择,最后,探讨了自主创新道路中模仿创新、国际合作及知识产权保护等相关问题。

Choice of innovation path of agro-ecology industry has a direct effect on development speed and international competi- tiveness of the industry. Based on definition of technological innovation of industry, game analysis is made on technological innovation path from the perspectives of technological diffusion and non-diffusion and industrial strength etc. with oligopoly model, and then on se- lection of China＇s technological innovation path of agro-ecology industry by combining the innovation strength, environment, product life cycle and etc. on an empirical basis. The conclusion is that independent innovation is the best choice for agro-ecology industry in China. Finally, the paper further explores simulating innovation, international cooperation and intellectual property protection etc. in the process of independent innovation.