摘要
能源消费与经济增长之间的关系一直是国内外关注的焦点,确定二者之间的因果关系方向具有重大的政策含义。在总结国内外研究成果的基础上,采用1980～2008年的相关统计数据,利用协整理论和Granger因果关系检验分析山东省能源消费与经济增长之间的关系,结果显示能源消费与经济增长具有长期趋势关系,且存在双向因果关系;通过对柯氏生产函数的扩展计量模型,采用广义最小二乘法进行估计,得出结论:山东省能源消费与经济增长呈正相关关系,经济增长对能源消耗的依赖程度较高。
Relationship between energy consumption and economic growth has been the focus of attention at home and abroad. It is greatly important to determine the direction of causality between the two. Based on research results at home and abroad, we use the related data in 1980 -2008 to analyze the relationship between energy con- sumption and economic growth through co - integration theory and Granger causality. The result shows there is rela- tionship of long - term trends between energy consumption and economic growth, and it is just two - way causality. Estimating extended measurement model of Cobb - Douglas production function through clusion ： energy consumption and economic growth of Shandong is positively correlated ; lies on energy consumption. OLS, we come to the con- economic growth greatly re-
出处
《经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第10期16-19,共4页
On Economic Problems
关键词
能源消费
经济增长
协整理论
格兰杰因果关系检验
energy consumption
economic growth
co - integration theory
Granger causality test
