基于马尔可夫模型的重庆市土地利用预测研究

Study on Prediction of Land Use Change in Chongqing Based on Markov Model

采用加权方法建立重庆市土地利用类型转移矩阵,运用马尔可夫模型对土地利用的变化进行预测。结果表明,预测期的耕地、其他农用地、未利用土地在不断下降,而园地、林地、牧草地、居民点及工矿用地、交通用地、水利设施用地、其他土地则处于增长趋势。

Transition matrix of land use type in Chongqing City are established based on weighted method,and predicts land use change using Markov models.The results show that the area of cultivated land,other agricultural land and undeveloped land will be decreased during the forecast period,while the area of forest,grass,residential,industrial,mining,transportation,water conservancy facilities land and others will be increased.