全要素生产率对安徽农业产出的贡献分析

Analysis of the Contribution of Total Factor Productivity to Agricultural Yield in Anhui Province

通过对安徽省1981~2010年农业发展数据进行分析,实证估算出各年的农业全要素生产率及其增长率。通过对1981-2010年间不同子期间进行划分,评析了改革开放初期、软着陆时期以及金融危机、次贷危机等各时期以及各因素对农业全要素增长率的影响,并分析了全要素生产率的增长对农业经济总产出的贡献。研究发现,安徽农业全要素生产率的增长对农业发展有重要作用。

By analyzing data concerning agricultural development from 1981 to 2010 in Anhui Province,the total factor productivity and growth rate of agriculture from 1981 to 2010 are estimated empirically.By dividing different periods during 1981-2010,this paper evaluates and analyzes initial stage of reform and opening up,soft landing stage,the stage of financial crisis,the stage of subprime mortgage crisis and the impact of all factors on total factor growth rate of agriculture.Then it analyzes the contribution of growth of total factor productivity to total yield of agricultural economy.The research finds that the growth of total factor productivity in Anhui Province is significant to agricultural development.