绿色农产品封闭供应链风险评估研究

Researches on Risk Evaluation Green Agro-products Closed Supply Chain

在现有供应链风险和农产品供应链文献研究的基础上,对绿色农产品封闭供应链中涉及生产、经营和消费等环节的相关节点主体进行实际调研分析,将供应链系统中的主要风险要素归纳为环境风险、系统风险、信息风险、管理风险和质量安全风险5类。运用模糊综合评价方法对绿色农产品封闭供应链风险进行评价,得到绿色农产品封闭供应链风险的模糊综合评价分值,结果表明绿色农产品封闭供应链风险等级属于中等,具有较高的风险,这与当前实际情况基本相符。从各级指标权重也可看出,影响风险的关键一级指标是系统风险、信息风险和质量安全风险,影响风险的关键二级指标是核心企业协调控制能力、信息追溯技术的实现程度、质量安全体系建设水平等。因此,应该着重从这些方面采取防范和控制措施来降低绿色农产品封闭供应链风险。

Based on the research results of the current literatures on supply chain risk and agro-product supply chain,related subjects of the agro-product closed supply chain involving production,management and consumption are studied and analyzed and the primary risking factors in the supply chain system are classified into environmental risk,system risk,information risk,management risk and quality risk.Risk of agro-product closed supply chain is evaluated by using the method of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and the values are acquired.The result shows that risk of agro-product closed supply chain is moderate with relatively high risk,which basically accords with the present actual situations.It can be seen from the index weights of various levels that the key first-level indices influencing the risks are system risk,information risk,quality and safety risk and the key second-level are the coordinating and controlling ability of core enterprises,the implement of information traceability and the construction of quality safety system.Therefore,risk of agro-product closed supply chain should be reduced by taking prevention and controlling measures mainly from these aspects.