摘要
以青岛市农业优先发展领域的技术预见为例,采用统计分析法和综合指数评价法对德尔菲调查问卷信息进行了深入分析。结果显示:青岛现代农业发展总体水平一般,部分领域在全国处于领先地位,但与发达国家相比,差距依然明显;农业资源高效利用、农产品安全生产与质量控制、农产品精细加工与物流、生态农业和农业动植物育种是青岛现代农业优先发展的重点领域。
Taking the technology foresight of agricultural development priorities in Qingdao City as an example, this paper makes a deep research on Delphi questionnaire information by employing statistical analysis method and comprehensive index evaluation method. The results show that the overall level of modern agricultural development in Qingdao is not very good in general. Despite of the fact that part of the development priorities are in the leading position, the gap is still striking compared with developed countries. Efficient use of agricultural resources, safety production and quality control of agricultural products, fine processing and logistics of agricuflural products as well as ecological agriculture and agriculture, animal and plant breeding are the key fields of modern agricultural development priorities in Qingdao.
出处
《青岛农业大学学报(社会科学版)》
2011年第3期32-36,79,共6页
Journal of Qingdao Agricultural University(Social Science)
基金
青岛市科技计划重点专项(07-2-5-5-gx)
青岛市软科学项目(09-1-1-102-(14)-zhc)
关键词
技术预见
现代农业
优先领域
青岛市
德尔菲调查法
technology foresight
modern agriculture
priorities
Qingdao City
Delphi survey method