摘要
本文利用天津1990-2009年的年度统计数据,运用相关分析和多元回归分析的方法分析了进出口贸易与外商直接投资之间的关系。研究结果表明,实际利用外商直接投资额对进出口贸易额均具有累积效应,同时对出口具有滞后效应。短期内,外商直接投资对天津的出口贸易具有替代效应;长期看,FDI对出口贸易具有明显的促进作用。实际利用外商直接投资额累计值对出口和进口均具有明显的带动效应,而对出口的作用多于进口。
Based on the statistics of Tianjin from 1990 to 2009,this paper analyzes the impact of FDI on Import-Export trade in Tianjin by correlation and regression analysis.The results show as follows： there is a cumulative effect of FDI on Tianjin＇s import and export trade.At the same time,there is a lag effect of FDI on Tianjin＇s export trade.In the short term,there is a substitution effect of FDI on Tianjin＇s export trade.In the long term,there is a promotion influence of of FDI on Tianjin＇s import and export trade.Furthermore,the impact on export trade is more than it on import trade.
出处
《天津市财贸管理干部学院学报》
2011年第3期21-23,共3页
Journal of Tianjin Institute of Financial and Commercial Management
