略论二十一世纪全球核电事业的发展走向——从《寂静的春天》到日本核危机

A Brief Analysis on the Prospect of Nuclear Power Industry in the 21st Century——from The Silent Spring to the Fukushima Nuclear Crisis

二十世纪六十年代初,以美国女海洋生物学家蕾切尔.卡森的环保名著《寂静的春天》面世为标志,全球正式拉开了"生态学时代"的环保大幕。二十一世纪初,以日本的福岛变成核污染的"灾难之岛"为警钟,人类对核电事业的何去何从再度展开了思考。展望未来的全球核电事业,无疑将呈现出一个增长——稳定——减少的发展趋势。

In the early 1960s, following the publication of the American marine biologist Rachel Carson＇s famous work The Silent Spring, a global movement of environment protection began, which started an era of ecology. However, when time comes to 2011, Manned by the nuclear accident of Japanese city of Fukushima, people have to rethink the development of nuclear power industry. Through a general survey, we can make a prediction that the future development of nuclear power industry in the world will follow a pattern of ＂increase--- stabilizing＂--decrease＂ .