摘要
本文选择9个表征物流能力的指标,采用模糊物元的方法计算出全国31个省份近11年的物流能力,同时结合GDP增长率数据,形成面板数据,研究31个省份经济增长和物流能力支持之间的关系。研究表明:31个省份近11年的物流能力发展存在一定差异;物流能力对经济增长的整体贡献力度较大,但地区间存在差距,呈现东中西部递减的趋势。因此,要实现区域经济的快速发展必须保持区域物流能力的协调发展,构建区域物流大系统。
Choosing nine indexes of the logistics capability,we use the method of fuzzy matter-element to calculate the 31 provinces＇ logistics capability in recent 11 years combined with the GDP growth data to analysis the relationship between 31 provinces＇ economic growth and the logistics capability.Research has been shown that： There exists certain differences among 31 provinces＇ logistics capability development,the logistics capability＇s contribution to economic growth is large,but certain gap exists between regions,presenting depressive trend among the east,the central and the west.Therefore,it needs the coordinated development of the regional logistics capability and the construction of regional logistics system to realize regional rapid economic development.
出处
《预测》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第5期59-63,75,共6页
Forecasting
基金
江西省教育厅青年科学基金资助项目(GJJ11090)
关键词
模糊物元
面板数据
物流能力
区域经济
fuzzy matter-element
panel data
logistics capability
regional economy
