山东省农村居民消费结构实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of the Consumption Structure of Rural Residents in Shandong Province

运用扩展线性支出系统模型对山东省农村居民消费结构的特点及变化趋势进行实证分析。结果表明:食品和衣着是居民基本需求的重点,交通通讯和居住可能会成为未来农村居民的消费热点。因此,要实现消费结构升级,需从拓宽增收渠道入手,把握居民消费热点,刺激居民消费。

This article analyses the features and developing trend of the consumption structure of Shandong rural residents, by utilizing the expanded linear expenditure system model. The results show that food and clothing are still the primary needs, and meanwhile, transportation and medical care will become the hotspots of rural consumption in the future. Therefore, in order to achieve the optimization of the consumption structure, the channels to increase rural residents＇income should be expanded. And we should keep trace of the hotspots of rural consumption in order to stimulate it.