金砖五国经济增长与能源消费强度收敛性分析——基于面板数据模型的八国比较研究

Convergence Analysis of the Economic Growth and Energy Consumption Intensity of BRICS Nations——A Comparative Study of Eight Countries Based on Panel Data Model

采用面板模型,对金砖五国的经济增长和能源消费强度的收敛性进行实证分析,结果显示:长期来看,金砖五国中只有巴西和中国经济增长存在收敛效应,但短期内,金砖五国的经济增长均收敛,而各国的收敛速度不同。在能源消费强度的收敛性方面,中国和南非存在收敛效应,巴西、俄罗斯和印度却不能判断收敛与否。

An empirical study is made on BRICS nations＇ economic growth and the convergence of energy consumption intensity by using panel data model. The results show that convergence effects exist only in Brazil and China＇s economic growth among BRICS nations in the long run, but in the short run, the effects exist in all the economic growth of the five countries with different convergent speed. The convergence effects of energy consumption intensity exist in China and South Africa, but not certain in Brazil, Russia and India.