需求要素拉动经济增长省际差异性分析

Analysis of Provincial Difference in Demand Factors Pushing Economic Growth

在中国不同省区市,需求要素拉动经济增长作用的程度不尽相同。文章着重研究影响需求要素拉动经济增长作用发挥的主要因素,运用因子分析、聚类分析和回归分析后得出以下基本结论:整体上看,消费拉动和科技促进因子是需求拉动经济增长作用发挥的最大影响者,其次为外需拉动因子、政府干预因子和市场发育因子。在东部省区,消费拉动和科技促进因子、外需拉动因子的影响作用更为显著,而中西部地区政府干预因子影响作用则更加明显。由于需求要素拉动经济增长的省际差异性,因而其政策含义也不相同。

The effect of economic growth via demand factors differs in different provinces across China.This paper focuses on the main elements affecting the economic growth via demand factors by making use of factor analysis,cluster analysis and regression analysis.The conclusion is as follows： on the whole,the biggest contribution to the economic growth is consumption and technology,followed by external demand,government intervention and market development.In eastern provinces,the effect of consumption,technology and external demand is very outstanding,whereas the effect of government intervention is more obvious in western provinces.The policy implications are different due to provincial differences in economic growth via demand factors,