碳排放福利绩效研究:基于G20数据

Research on wellbeing performance of carbon emissions: based on the data of G20

构建了一个碳排放福利绩效指标,通过LMDI因素分解模型将碳排放福利绩效总效应分解为技术效应与服务效应,在此基础上对G20国家1990-2007年的绩效及其影响因素进行实证分析,结果显示:(1)巴西、印度尼西亚、印度、阿根廷和法国的碳排放福利绩效均值较高,而德国、英国、法国等欧洲发达国家的绩效增长较快;(2)巴西的技术效应为负,但服务效应在G20中最高,印度的技术效应和服务效应同时为负;(3)中国碳排放福利绩效较低,虽然技术效应最高,但服务效应最低,导致总效应为负值。最后,对中国的低碳发展提出了相关政策建议。

This paper establish an index of wellbeing performance of carbon emissions （WPCE） , and the total effect of WPCE is decomposed to technology effect and service effect by LMDI model, then comes the positive analysis based on the data of G20 from 1990 - 2007, the results show： （ 1 ） the mean value of WPCE in Brail, Indonesia, India, Argentina and France are relatively high, the growth of WPCE in Germany, UK, and France are comparatively fast; （2）the technology effect of Brazil is below 0, but the service effect of it is the highest in G20. Both technology effect and service effect of India are negative; （3） WPCE of China is relatively low, although the technology effect of it is the highest, the service effect of it is the lowest, leading to a negative total effeet. At last, some advises about low carbon development in China are put forward.