中国地区碳强度与FDI的空间计量分析——基于空间面板模型的实证研究

THE IMPACT OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT ON CARBON INTENSITY——EMPIRICAL STUDY BASED ON CHINESE PROVINCIAL DYNAMIC PANEL DATA

基于1996—2008年中国各地区面板数据,首先计算了碳强度,通过Moran I指数的计算和检验发现,我国各地区的碳强度存在着显著的空间相关性,即临近地区的碳强度存在着一定的相似性;然后利用空间面板计量模型分析了FDI对碳强度的影响,结果表明,FDI能有效地降低我国各地区的碳强度;最后,结合其它一些影响碳强度的指标对计量结果进行了分析,并提出了一些建议。

The carbon intensity is calculated based on the panel data in various regions of China from 1996 to 2008.There are spatial correlations of carbon intensity of various regions of China according to Moran I index calculated and tested. So, spatial econometric panel model is chosen to establish the relationship between carbon intensity and FDI. The results show that the introduction of FDI can reduce the carbon intensity in China effectively. At last, other Indicators which will affect carbon intensity are also discussed and some suggestions are proposed.