假目标掩护下飞机突防效果的探索性分析

Exploratory Analysis on Aircraft Penetration Effects under the Covering of False Targets

针对假目标掩护下飞行器突防概率问题,在分析交战双方作战过程基础上,建立假目标掩护下飞行器突防效果模型,然后运用探索性分析方法和工具,结合一个作战示例,对影响突防效果人的训练因子、不同的打击波次、假目标数量等因素进行分析。结果表明:当假目标1～4倍真目标进行掩护时,其突防增益明显,其平均增益可达到10%～35%。

How to analyze the penetration effects of craft under the condition of false targets covering is one of the most important problems.This was working theory which was based on the analysis of two-side engagement process. This paper established models of the breakthrough defense effects of craft under the condition of false targets covering.And then,there are some elements such as a man＇s exercise factors,different attacking times,and numbers of false targets being analyzed,by combining an engagement case and using exploratory analysis tools.The results show that craft penetration effects is obvious when the numbers of false targets is three times that of true target,and the effects of average gain may reach 10% to 35%.