产业内贸易与产业结构的优化——基于中国制造业动态面板数据的研究

Intra-industry Trade and the Optimization of Industrial Structure:An Analysis Based on China's Manufactual Dynamic Panel Data

"十二五"时期是促进中国工业转型和产业结构调整的重要机遇期。本文在统计分析中国产业内贸易与产业结构优化现状的基础上,分别检验产业内贸易与产业结构合理化和高度化之间存在的相关性,并运用动态面板数据模型进行回归分析,回归结果表明产业内贸易能有效促进产业结构优化,但在不同技术附加值的行业中存在差异,产业内贸易能有效提升高技术产业结构合理化水平,提升低技术、中等技术产业结构高度化水平。因此,有必要根据产业内贸易对不同技术附加值产业结构优化的影响制定产业政策,逐步实现产业结构的优化调整。

It is an important opportunity to adjust and promote industrial structure in the＂twelfth five-year＂period.Based on the statistical analysis of the status of Chinese intra-industry trade and industrial structure,this paper tests the Pearson correlation coefficient between intra-industry trade and industrial structure rationalization and advancement respectively,and then regresses it by using dynamic panel data model.The empirical result shows that,intra-industry trade promotes industrial structure optimization significantly,but the effectiveness differs in various industries divided by technology value-added.The suggestion is that,the government should take how to promote intra-industry trade in different technology value-added industries in consideration while formulating industrial policies.