经济学实证论文最常用线性计量模型的构造

The Construction of the Most Commonly-used Linear Econometric Model in Empirical Economics Papers

经济学学科毕业生论文的假、大、空有历史和研究方法的原因.从实证类论文撰写起步是经济学研究者甚至本科毕业生必须具备的基本功.参考胡景北教授关于写实证类经济学论文的基本步骤,针对其中的关键环节——模型构造,体现在国内现存的大量文献对经济模型的误选、滥用甚至误用上,作者就经济学实证类论文写作中的线性模型的构造提出了合理的步骤和方法,并以一个具体的实例详细而有序地解析了如何构造所需要的计量模型——即针对研究对象从现实经济背景出发,构造所需要的函数并推导出理论方程,依据该理论方程设立计量模型,进而对待估参数进行精准解读,该方法在建立线性模型的过程中具有普遍性.

Some historical reasons and research methods have resulted in the false, large and empty topics in economics graduates＇ papers. It is a basic skill for undergraduates and even economics scholars to start from writing empirical research papers. In the light of Professor Hu Jingbei＇ s basic steps on the writing of empirical economics papers, especially his key step -- the model construction which is targeted against the selection error, abuse or misuse of economics paper models in the extensive domestic literature concerned, the paper comes up with the reasonable procedures and practical methods of establishing a linear model in writing empirical research papers; through a specific instance, the paper describes in great detail the way to construct the econometric model needed, that is, aimed at the object of study and from the current economic background, a required function is obtained and the theoretical equations are derived, on the basis of which an econometric model is designed; then, the paper makes an accurate interpretation of the estimated parameters. Finally, the universality of the method in the construction of a linear model is proven.