我国能源消费影响因素分析:基于路径分析的实证研究

Analysis of Energy Consumption's Influencing Factors——Based on Path Analysis

能源消费问题不仅关系到我国经济健康、快速的发展,同时对我国的能源安全乃至国家战略安全有着极为深远的影响。本文以能源消费的影响因素为切入点,将路径分析法与格兰杰因果关系巧妙结合,探究了经济发展总量、城市化、产业结构及居民消费结构对能源消费影响路径及作用机制,研究发现不同因素对能源消费的影响呈现出不同的特点和作用机制。

Energy consumption issues are not only related to the health of our economy and the rapidity of development, but also have a very profound impact on China＇s energy security and even national security strategy. This paper used factors of energy consumption as the starting point and combined the path analy- sis and Granger causality to explore the mechanism between the amount of economic development, urbanization, industrial structure and consumption structure and energy consumption and found that different factors on the impact of energy consumption showed different characteristics and mechanism of action.