对外贸易与皖江区域经济增长互动效应实证分析：一个研究框架

EmPirical Analysis of Interaction Effect between Foreign Trade and Economic Growth in Wan River Region：A Studying Frame

国内外关于贸易对经济增长发挥什么样的作用问题的研究文献非常多，但是就一个区域进行的研究少之又少。本文为研究皖江区域贸易与增长的互动关系做一框架分析，通过对贸易对增长的拉动效应的存在性、拉动程度与贡献度大小估算以及技术进步与技术溢出效应等问题做实证计量分析，研究对外贸易对皖江区域经济增长的重要作用，并提供若干建模方法。

There are many articles on the function of foreign trade to economic growth, but very few for a certain region. In order to study the relation between regional trade and economic growth, this paper makes a frame to analyze the distribution and the technical effect. It also makes an empirical analysis and provides some model methods to research the importance of foreign trade to the regional economic growth.