美债危机的成因、影响及我国未来的经济政策走势分析

Cause and Influence of America's Debt Crisis and Analysis of Chinese Future Economic Policy Tend

美债危机的成因主要在于三个方面,即美债累积数额巨大;世界经济复苏放缓凸显了美债违约的严重性;美国两党未能及时达成共识,没有给市场充分消化的时间,引发了投资者恐慌情绪的蔓延等。美债危机短期内对我国经济的不利影响有限,但长期看将进一步推动我国经济结构调整和外汇投资多元化进程。我国经济增长不会出现大幅下滑,经济结构调整步伐将进一步加快;人民币升值趋势将加快;输入性通胀压力依然严峻;政策进入观望期,紧缩政策可能出现微调;外汇储备风险增加,多元化投资进程将加快。

The cause of America＇s debt crisis mainly lies in three aspects,namely the huge amount of debt is accumulated;the slowdown of the recovery of the world economy highlights the severity of American debt defaulted;Failing to reach a consensus,the United States parties don＇t give the market fully time to digestion and initiates the spread of investors＇ panic.The adverse effect of the U.S.debt crisis to our economy is limited,and from the long-term perspective,it will further promote the structural adjustment of our economy and investment diversification process of our foreign exchange.The growth of our economy won＇t glide considerably.The steps of economic restructuring will be accelerated further.The trend of RMB appreciation will be quickened.The input inflation pressure is still grim.The policy is into the wait-and-see period.The deflation policy may be fine-tuned.The risk of foreign exchange reserves is increased.The process of investment diversification will be sped up.