山东省人口规模对社会经济和生态环境影响的实证分析

The Empirical Analysis of the Influence of Population Scale in Shandong Province on Social Economy and Environment

环境问题日益严重,由于人口暴增及消费模式所造成的环境破坏事件越来越多。一个国家的人口规模决定着该国人力资本的情况,对经济活动和资源环境形成需求,从而对社会经济和生态环境产生广泛影响。定性和定量地研究人口规模对经济、环境的影响,对于人类社会可持续发展具有重要意义。本文以山东省为例,基于社会经济统计数据,计算了山东省人口规模、自然增长率与相关经济发展指标、环境指标的相关系数,并对其中几个重要的经济发展指标、环境指标与人口规模进行回归方程拟合,探究其数量关系,并利用拟合方程对"人口环境关系公式"做进一步深入研究。

The problem of environment is getting worse and worse for the reason that the ever-growing population and consumption mode have made great impact on the environment.The population scale of a country determines the human capital of that country,forms the need of economic activity and resource environment and has great influence on social economy and environment.Qualitative and quantitative research on the influence of population scale on economy and environment is of great importance on society＇s sustainable development.Taking Shandong Province as an example,this thesis calculates the correlation index of population scale,natural increase rate,and correlate economic development index and environment index,makes regression equation for several important economic development indicators,environment indicators and population scales,explores the relationship between the numbers,and uses fitted equation of the＂relationship between population,environment,the formula＂ to do further study.