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甲流病毒传播的年龄结构模型的稳定性 被引量：1

The Stability of an Age-Dependent H1N1 Influenza Virus Model
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摘要 研究甲型H1N1流感病毒的传播规律,建立年龄结构具有接种措施的SEIR流行病模型,给出了疾病流行的阈值并证明了地方病平衡点的稳定性问题.最后根据一些实际数据,进行数值模拟进而对模型的合理性加以完善,借助模型预测下一阶段甲流爆发的可能性并提出相关应对措施. Study of the dissemination rule of HIN1 influenza virus. Build an age-structured SEIR epidemic model with vaccination, get the threshold of disease epidemic and prove the stability of endemic equilibrium. Finally, do the numerical simulation by actual data and perfect the model. Then, with the help of the model predict the next outbreak phase and put forward relevant measures and suggestions.
作者 赵爱娟 王定江
机构地区 浙江工业大学理学院
出处 《数学的实践与认识》 CSCD 北大核心 2011年第20期112-118,共7页 Mathematics in Practice and Theory
关键词 甲型H1N1流感病毒 年龄结构 接种 稳定性 数值模拟 A（H1N1） influenza virus age-structure vaccination SEIR epidemic model stability numerical simulation
分类号 O242.1 [理学—计算数学]
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参考文献4

二级参考文献39

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共引文献26

同被引文献39

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数学的实践与认识
2011年 第20期

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