我国食品制造业的产业关联分析

Analysis on the Linkages of Chinese Food Manufacturing Industry

采用投入产出技术,分析中国食品制造业的产业关联和对其他产业以及整个中国经济的影响。结果表明,中国食品制造业的14个部门都不能作为中国经济发展的关键产业。后向与前向关联度表明食品制造业的发展整体上更多地受到其他产业以及整个国民经济增长的刺激,屠宰及肉类加工业,方便食品制造业,液体乳及乳制品制造业,调味品、发酵制品制造业和软饮料及精制茶加工业等6个食品制造业部门对国民经济拥有更多的影响力。对于其他8个食品制造业部门,其既不能受到整个经济生产的刺激,也不能刺激整个经济的发展。建议政策制定部门应该采取相应措施增加我国食品制造业和其他产业的关联程度。

The study uses input-output techniques to analyze the inter linkages and impacts of Chinese food manufacturing activities upon other sectors and the whole Chinese economy.The results show that none of the fourteen Chinese food manufacturing sub-sectors can be considered key sectors.The values of the forward and backward linkages show that the Chinese food manufacturing industry is more stimulated by overall industry growth than other sectors.Six sub-sectors（slaughtering and meat processing industry;instant food industry;liquid milk and dairy products manufacturing;spices,fermented products industry;soft drinks and the refined tea processing industry） have greater impacts in terms of investment expenditures on the national economy than other sectors.As for the other eight sub sectors,neither it would be stimulated by an increase in a regional economy＇s production nor would its increasing output stimulate this regional economy more than an increase in other sectors.These results suggest that some policies should be established to increase linkages between food manufacturing and the rest of the Chinese economy.