中国区域经济的空间联系:1997—2007

The Spatial Linkage of China's Regional Economy from 1997 to 2007

本文以中国1997年与2007年8个区域17个产业部门的区域间投入产出表为基础,通过前后向关联考察了中国区域经济空间关联的动态变化特征。研究发现,10年间中国区域间的空间关联程度在加强,无论是直接联系还是间接联系,前、后向联系值都较弱的地区数在减少,联系值都较强的地区数在增加。具体地,除东部与南部沿海地区外,其他地区的直接与完全后向联系值呈现普遍上升的趋势,而除北部沿海、东部沿海与中部地区外,其他地区的直接与完全前向联系值呈现上升势头。同时,本文的研究也发现,由于"两头在外"发展模式的影响,东部与南部沿海地区对中国其他地区的前、后向影响力都在减弱,其中尤以后向影响力的减弱程度最大。

Based on the multi-regional Input-Output Table of China in 1997 and 2007,this paper gives a deep insight of the Changing Characters of the spatial linkage of China regional economies.From the viewpoint of both direct and indirect linkage,the number of regions with lower forward and backward linkages is decreasing,while the number of regions with higher forward and backward linkages is increasing.More specific,all the regions,except the east and south coastal,are showing an upward trend for the direct and indirect backward linkage.Meanwhile,all the regions,not including the north and east coastal and the central,are also experiencing the upward trend for the direct and indirect linkage.This paper also shows that,because both the input and product market are abroad,the forward and backward effects of the east and south coastal to the other regions are weakening,especially for the backward effect.