摘要
介绍了燃气供用照付不议合同执行过程中,对负荷预测和气量预订的要求。针对典型的商业合同条款,建立了燃气负荷预测的经济性评价模型,对提高预订气量、利用储气设施等风险控制方法的效果进行了量化分析,提出了降低燃气负荷预测风险的控制策略。
The requirements for load forecasting and gas reservation in implementation of take-orpay gas supply contracts are introduced. An economic evaluation model for gas load forecasting is established based on the typical commercial contract clauses. The quantitative analysis is made by the effects of risk control methods including increasing gas reservation and using gas storage facilities. Some strategies for reducing gas load forecasting risk are presented.
出处
《煤气与热力》
2011年第10期34-37,共4页
Gas & Heat
基金
"十一五"国家科技支撑计划项目(2006BAJ16B01)
关键词
负荷预测
经济性评价
照付不议
储气设施
风险控制
load forecasting
economic evaluation
take-or-pay
gas storage facility
risk control
