近来中东北非局势对中国能源安全的影响

The Impact of the Recent Situation of East and North Africa on China's Energy Security

国际能源市场对中东北非地区的依赖度极高,且中东北非局势严重影响全球能源安全,表现在国际石油供应、国际油价走势、国际能源通道运行.中国能源安全主要是石油安全,而中国石油安全实为中东北非地缘政治安全,因为中国严重依赖中东北非地区石油进口,且在中东北非地区油气投资已成规模,所以保障中国能源安全要求中东北非地缘政治环境稳定.应该从多角度审视近期中东北非局势对中国能源安全的影响,宏观把握中东北非地区形势发展,微观分析潜在风险的存在,预期高油价或成为未来中国能源安全主要威胁.

International energy markets very dependent on MENA region,and the situation of MENA has serious implications for global energy security,including international oil supply,international oil prices,International Energy channel operation.China＇s energy security is mainly oil security,and China＇s oil security is indeed the geo-political security of MENA,because China heavily relies on MENA oil imports,and has a large scale oil and gas investment in the MENA region,stable geo-political environment of MENA are required to protect China＇s energy security.We should look upon the impact of recent situation of MENA on China＇s energy security from multiple perspectives,including macro-grasping the development of situation in MENA,micro-analyzing the existence of potential risks,expecting high oil prices maybe a major threat to China＇s future energy security.