摘要
基于多变量VAR模型,对1980～2009年间我国城乡居民消费结构与产业升级、经济增长三者之间的关系进行了实证研究。研究结果显示,我国的经济增长有助于改善城乡居民的消费结构,而由于第三产业内部结构不合理,第二产业的重工业化进程,产业升级并没有实现预想中的促进消费结构升级优化的目标。基于这些研究,提出加快服务业发展、提升居民消费能力的政策建议。
Using the multivariable VAR model, the paper investigates the relationship between urban - rural consumption structure and industrial upgrading, economic growth based on time series data from 1980 to 2009 in China. The research shows China＇s economic growth helps to improve the consumption structure of urban - rural residents＇. However, because of unreasonable structure of tertiary industry and industrial proceed, which makes industrial upgrading don＇ t play a role in improving the consumption structure. Based on these studies, the paper proposes some policy recommendations, such as speeding ability of the consumers. up development of service industry, enhancing the consumption ability of the consumers.
出处
《经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第11期18-21,共4页
On Economic Problems
基金
2010年河南省哲学社会科学规划项目(2010CJJ023)
关键词
消费结构
产业升级
经济增长
consumption structure
industrial upgrading
economic growth
