中国对外贸易政策取向的实证研究——基于中韩自由贸易区的建立

An Empirical Research on the Policy Orientation of China's Foreign Trade Based on the Establishment of China-Korea FTA

产业内贸易程度不仅可以衡量一国在国际上的产业竞争优势和国际分工地位,而且能全面反映贸易双方在规模经济、技术进步、消费者福利等多方面的优势。文章通过对1992～2007年中韩产业内贸易指数的计算和实证分析发现:中韩产业内贸易还存在诸多问题,农产品的产业内贸易程度太低,工业制成品的产业内贸易多为垂直型,并且有加工贸易的迹象。因此文章建议:在中韩自由贸易区的环境下,通过外商直接投资促进中韩产业内贸易由垂直型向水平型转变,进而改善我国的贸易条件;借助中韩自由贸易区关税优惠政策和原产地的便利,进一步扩大中韩贸易市场份额,共享中韩自由贸易的成果。

This paper calculates and analyzes the GL index of intra-industry trade between China and Korea. The results show that the trade of agricultural products has a low GL index, and the trade of manufactured products takes the form of vertical intra-industry trade. Furthermore, it empirically tests the factors that influence the IIT of manufactured products. Finally, it puts forward the policy suggestion for the use of FDI to promote the I1T on the basis of China-Korea ETA.