国际原油价格波动对我国宏观经济影响的实证分析

Demonstrative analysis of international crude oil price fluctuation on China macro economy influence

本文首先运用现代非均衡经济理论分析国际原油价格对我国宏观经济的作用机制,发现国际原油价格与我国经济增长和PPI之间存在一定的关系。然后在结构VAR模型的基础上,讨论了国际原油价格波动对我国经济增长和PPI的动态影响。

First,this paper analyzes the principle of action by the modern unbalanced,which is the impact of international crude oil price shocks on china＇s macroeconomic.The result shows that there are some relationships during the international crude oil,the economic growth and PPI.Then,this paper make a discussion about the dynamic effect of international crude oil price shocks on china＇s economic and PPI.