摘要
运用灰色GM(1,1)预测模型,选取货运量为指标,根据统计数据建立了青海省铁路和公路物流需求规模模型,并对青海省十二五期间的物流需求规模进行了预测,在一定程度上能够为青海省物流业发展提供定量依据。
Basing on the GM （1,1） prediction model, this paper selects the Qinghai cargo volume of rail and road logistics , and establishes GM （1,1） prediction model about them, predicting the scale of Qinghai logistics demand during the 12th five-year-plan period. The results to some ex- tent are able to provide quantitative basis for the development of the logistics industry in Qinghai Province.
出处
《科技和产业》
2011年第11期84-88,134,共6页
Science Technology and Industry
关键词
物流需求
规模预测
GM(1
1)模型
货运量
logistics requirements
seale prediction
GM （1,1） prediction model
cargo
