中国农产品价格波动对CPI的影响分析

Impact Analysis on Prices of China's Agricultural Products to the CPI

近期引起中国农产品价格上涨的诱因很多。通过2006年1月—2011年8月的月度数据检验金融危机前、危机期间和危机后农产品价格与居民消费物价指数的互动关系表明,三个阶段的二者关系变化显著,而且危机前后农产品价格对CPI的影响比危机期间更明显,这一结果反映出当前中国农产品品质不能适应消费者对农产品质量的需求。

There are many complex factors influencing price rising of agricultural products in the recent, so the paper analyzes the relationship between the prices of agricultural products and the CPI, based on January, 2006 to August, 2011 by the monthly data on the pre-crisis, the period of crisis and pest-crisis. It draws a comprehensive conclusion that it is more obvious between prices of agricultural products before and after the crisis impact on the CPI than during the crisis. The result shows that the current quality of Chinese agricultural product can not adapt to the consumer＇s demand for the quality of agricultural products.