FDI多参数溢出效应的内生增长模型及其仿真

Endogenous Growth Model of Multi-parameter FDI Spillover and Its Simulation

通过引入人力资本增长率、知识溢出、技术吸收能力以及技术差距等参数,建立了三部门FD I多参数溢出效应内生增长模型,讨论了各种经济因素对FD I溢出效应的影响,并通过数值模拟分析了系统的动态转移过程。研究表明:外商人力资本增长率高于东道国人力资本增长率时,FD I的引入才能促进东道国的经济增长率,而且只有在此种情况下,知识溢出才对东道国的经济发展起推动作用,反之,知识溢出对经济增长起阻碍作用;吸收能力和技术差距对稳态增长率不产生影响,但在动态转移过程中,经济增长率随吸收能力的提高而提高,而经济增长率随技术差距的扩大而降低。

The three - sector multi - parameters FDI spillover endogenous growth model is improved in this paper by introducing human capital, knowledge diffusion, absorptive capacity and technological gap. It discusses the impact of economic factors on FDI spillover and simulates the dynamic transfer process. The numerical results show that, if the growth rate of foreign human capital is higher than that of home human capital, FDI improves the economic growth, and only in this case, the knowledge diffusion promotes the economic development. Otherwise, the knowledge diffusion impedes the economic development. Absorptive capacity and technological gap have no effect on stationary growth rate. However, the economic growth increases with the increase of absorptive capacity, and decreases with the increase of technological gap in the dynamic transfer process.