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ARIMA模型在二手船价格预测中的应用 被引量:2

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摘要 本文对克拉克松公司提供的巴拿马型(60—100kdwt)散货二手船价格1984—2004年的时间序列数据进行分析,建立相应的ARIMA(p,d,q)模型,对2005—2008年价格进行预测。根据平均绝对误差(MAE)、平均相对误差(MPE)和均方根误差(RMSE)对模型的预测性能进行度量分析。
出处 《中国水运(下半月)》 2008年第6期94-95,98,共3页
基金 国家自然科学基金(70473016)资助
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