关键征候在潜艇威胁判断中的应用

Applicating the key Symptom Reasoning in Submarine Threat Judgment

传统的潜艇威胁判断模型中对关键征候的利用不是很充分,主要运用确定型模型,通过传感器获得目标主动信号的变化等实时信息判断潜艇是否被发现。分析研究了关键征候在潜艇对目标攻击企图的估计和对目标是否确认发现潜艇的估计应用,提出了把各种征候引入到模型中,根据征候的有无和征候发生的程度来对目标的威胁等级划分和排序,提高威胁判断的质量。

The key symptom has not been applicated enough in the traditional model of submarine threat judgment.It mainly applied certainty model by the sensors getting successive information to judge if the submarine was discovered or not.Analyzing that the key symptom was applicted into judgment the attempt of objects attack submarine and judgment if the submarine was discovered or not.Bringing that all of key symptom are brought into the model.Dividing and sequencing the threatment to advance the quality of the threat judgment by the key symptom.