中国乳业行业及区域增长实征分析

Analysis to the characteristics of industry and regional increase in dairy industry,China

我国乳品加工业发展十分迅速,也取得了显著效益,但其仍存在许多问题,因此对我国乳品加工业及其区域发展特征进行分析研究很有必要。该文基于全国乳品工业1998～2005年年度统计数据以及各省市的综列数据,通过对生产函数的估计以及对影响行业绩效的相关因素的分析,考察了我国乳品行业发展的特点及其区域特征。分析结果显示,我国乳品工业具有明显的规模报酬递增的特点,行业集中和产业结构优化对提高行业绩效具有显著的推动作用。在行业增长的影响因素中,知识进步的贡献率起着举足轻重的作用。

The development of dairy industry in China is very rapid,which obtains great benefits.But there still are many problems in this area.So it is necessary to study and analyse the characteristics of dairy industry and its regional increase.In this paper,with the reference of national dairy product industry statistics and the panel data from the dairy product,and industry of different provinces,the features of dairy product industry development in China and its regional characteristics were studied through the estimation by the production function and the anal- ysis on the industry performance.The analysis results showed that the dairy product industry in China has the characteristics of explicit increasing returns to scale.The industry integration and optimation of industry struc- ture play a very extraordinary promotion role in improving the industry performance.Among the factors affecting the industry development,the contribution ratio of technology and advance plays a very important role.