我国政府债务风险浅析

Rough Analysis on the Risk of China′s Government Debt

自实行积极的财政政策以来 ,我国已发行了大量国债 ,同时外债规模也逐年增加。本文用最新的数据分析了我国内外债风险的一系列指标 ,对我国内外债风险做出了一个综合评估 ,结论是我国的政府债务风险不容盲目乐观。在以上的分析基础之上以及借鉴国外经验教训 ,对化解政府债务风险提出了一些政策建议。

Since the implementation of expansionary fiscal policies, we have issued Lots of government bonds, while the scale of external debt has been increasing year after year.With the help of the latest data,analyzing a series of indexes of China′s internal debt and external debt, the article draws a conclusion that the risk of government debt of China has reached a level we could not be blindly optimistic. Based on the above analysis and with the experience of other countries for reference,the article puts forward some policy advice to cut down the level of risk of government debt.