摘要
More than 200 great (strong) earthquakes are examined in this thesis on the basis of the method for prediction of movement resonance of great earthquakes; and through the table of about 20 disastrous or representative earthquakes among them, it is proved that there is still room for breakthrough in the prediction of great (strong) earthquakes. At the end of 1996, I predicted that there would be a great earthquake with magnitude between 7.5 and 8.4 and a series of great earthquakes in Japan Trench in the following 1 or 2 years, and later this prediction was realized. Further study on this method resulted in the formula of epicentre prediction. Recently I also worked out that we can reduce the time of great earthquake prediction and epicentre prediction through the study of the early earthquakes with magnitude ≥≥of M 4. Written predictions on 7 earthquakes with magnitude of M 6 between January, 1998 to September 10, 1998 are proved successful in varying degrees, which will solve the —‘poser set by some authorities in international earthquake research field Short-time ’earthquake prediction is impossible on the basis of contemporary scientific technology.
More than 200 great (strong) earthquakes are examined in this thesis on the basis of the method for prediction of movement resonance of great earthquakes; and through the table of about 20 disastrous or representative earthquakes among them, it is proved that there is still room for breakthrough in the prediction of great (strong) earthquakes. At the end of 1996, I predicted that there would be a great earthquake with magnitude between 7.5 and 8.4 and a series of great earthquakes in Japan Trench in the following 1 or 2 years, and later this prediction was realized. Further study on this method resulted in the formula of epicentre prediction. Recently I also worked out that we can reduce the time of great earthquake prediction and epicentre prediction through the study of the early earthquakes with magnitude ≥≥of M 4. Written predictions on 7 earthquakes with magnitude of M 6 between January, 1998 to September 10, 1998 are proved successful in varying degrees, which will solve the —‘poser set by some authorities in international earthquake research field Short-time ’earthquake prediction is impossible on the basis of contemporary scientific technology.
