亚洲大地震的时间有序性与沙罗周期

TEMPORAL ORDERING OF EARTHQUAKES IN ASIA AND SAROS PERIOD

根据作者在1997年提出的“信息有序系列”的概念和方法,研究了一些亚洲大地震的时间有序性,本文列举1934—1970年期间亚洲M≥8级大地震,中国历史M≥8级大地震,兴都库什地区中深震(Ms≥7),结果表明,这些地震的一些时间有序性与反映日食序列变化的沙罗周期关系较密切。亚洲6个8级大地震时间间隔的数值在2130—2210d的范围内,这是地震时间有序性的一个好例子。这表明,时间有序性具有周期性不能描述的特性,它和新兴的复杂性科学有密切联系。

Based on the concept and method of the 'informational ordered series' defined by author in 1997, the temporal orderliness of several large earthquakes in Aisa has been studied. In this paper, some examples based on the great earthquakes (M≥8) in Asia during 1934-1970, the historical great earthquakes(M≥8) in China and the large earthquakes (M≥7) in Hindu-Kush region, have been illustrated, the temporal ordering of above-mention earthquakes demonstrates clear evidences of correlation with the Saros period related to the regular variation of solar eclipse sequence. The fact, that five time intervals among six large earthquaks (M≥8) in Asia are located in narrow range of 2130-2210 d, can be served as one of best examples of temporal orderliness of earthquakes. It is demonstrated that temporal orderliness is characterized by particular feature, which can not be described by preiodicity, and has some close relation to the new complexity science abroad.