曲线趋势预测法在深圳市保险业预测中的应用

The Application of Curve Tendency Calculating Method in the Insurance Business of ShenZhen City

根据历年来深圳市保险市场的保费收入情况，本文运用曲线趋势预测法，预测今后三年（即：1998－2000年）深圳市保险市场的保费收入，并且从几种趋势曲线中选择出最优曲势曲线，从而做出最优预测。

According to the dues in the insurance Inarket in recent years, this essay uses the tendency calculating method to forecast the income of insurance business of ShenZhen city in the following three years, that is from 1998 to 2000. Furthermore, among the methch the writer chooses the bot one in order to get the best and precise calculate.