运用等维灰数递补GM模型对我国全能项目实现跟踪战略的预测研究

Predicting Study of Our Country's All-round Events through Equal-dimension Grey Increasing GM Model and with Following Strategy

本文对我国和世界１９８５－１９９４年全能项目前６名成绩平均值序列分别建立了等维灰数递补ＧＭ（１，１）模型。采用寻找二者预测值达到相近且年限一样的方法，预测了我国全能运动追赶上世界水平所需的年限，并从运动训练学角度进行了分析。

In this article,equal-dimension grey increasing GM models are established for the average results for the six best all round athletes in our country and in the world respectively from 1985 to 1994.The years needed for our athletes to reach the world level are predicted by seeking when the two predicting values are nearly the same, science of athletic training is applied in the analysis.