摘要
According to the blown-up theory (described in references [1,2]) for nonlinear dynamic system on the relationship of general pansystem transformation, optimisation and panderivative blown-up, by means of blown-up theory, we demonstrate that the blown-up of nonlinear heat conductive equation is similar to the evolution of observational ground temperature 'flow' in this paper. And a successful simulation of Tang Shan Earthquake in 1976 has been given. The result of simulation indicates that the blown-up of ground temperature 'flow' around earthquake can be applied to predict earthquake. As for Tang Shan Earthquake, the predicting time is about five months. If ground temperature 'flow' that embodies the earth's crust satisfies the unintegral panderivative equation, we can demonstrate its mechanism and forecast earthquake with enough information.
According to the blown-up theory (described in references [1,2]) for nonlinear dynamic system on the relationship of general pansystem transformation, optimisation and panderivative blown-up, by means of blown-up theory, we demonstrate that the blown-up of nonlinear heat conductive equation is similar to the evolution of observational ground temperature 'flow' in this paper. And a successful simulation of Tang Shan Earthquake in 1976 has been given. The result of simulation indicates that the blown-up of ground temperature 'flow' around earthquake can be applied to predict earthquake. As for Tang Shan Earthquake, the predicting time is about five months. If ground temperature 'flow' that embodies the earth's crust satisfies the unintegral panderivative equation, we can demonstrate its mechanism and forecast earthquake with enough information.
